State Watch: Kentucky

Kentucky

Electoral Votes: 8

Population: 4,606,864

2024 Turnout: 62.1%

2020 Turnout: 64.8%

Cook PVI: R+15

Federal Government:

Senate

Mitch McConnell* (R)Rand Paul (R)

House

James Comer* (R)Kentucky’s 1st
Brett Guthrie* (R)Kentucky’s 2nd
Morgan McGarvey* (D)Kentucky’s 3rd
Thomas Massie* (R)Kentucky’s 4th
Hal Rogers* (R)Kentucky’s 5th
Andy Barr* (R)Kentucky’s 6th

(* indicates seat up election in 2026)

State Government:

GovernorAndy Beshear* (D)
ChamberMajorityMinority
State Senate32R*6D*
State House80R*20D*

(* indicates seat up for election in 2026)

A Short Overview

Kentucky strongly favors Republicans in federal elections, though Democrats have remained competitive in some statewide offices, including the governorship. The electorate is heavily rural and culturally conservative, with strong emphasis on religion and traditional values. Economic concerns center on coal, manufacturing, and economic development in struggling regions. Democrats rely heavily on urban areas like Louisville and Lexington for support. Republicans maintain a clear advantage in most federal and legislative races.

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