Author: Sam Massey
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James Carville Wants Republicans To Win, For Some Reason

Only a few months ago, Maine was meant to be a setting for competitive primary between the Governor of Maine Janet Mills and populist outsider Graham Platner. In reality, Platner had pulled away in polls on the back of a strong populist message. In return, Mills would drop out prematurely from the race before primary…
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Wedgewood Polls Admits to Faking Data, Claims “Social Experiment”

Only a few months ago, Maine was meant to be a setting for competitive primary between the Governor of Maine Janet Mills and populist outsider Graham Platner. In reality, Platner had pulled away in polls on the back of a strong populist message. In return, Mills would drop out prematurely from the race before primary…
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Can Democrats Trust Graham Platner?

Only a few months ago, Maine was meant to be a setting for competitive primary between the Governor of Maine Janet Mills and populist outsider Graham Platner. In reality, Platner had pulled away in polls on the back of a strong populist message. In return, Mills would drop out prematurely from the race before primary…
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UPDATE: Being Current in A Fast-Paced World

UPDATE: Being Current in A Fast-Paced World By: Sam Massey When I launched the Gambit Forecaster project last November, I had little sense of just how all-encompassing the undertaking would become. What began as a focused election forecasting outlet quickly revealed itself to be something far more layered. Running this site means not only managing…
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Gambit Forecaster: June 2026 Report on Senate and Governor Races

We are now deep into the 2026 primary period, with the next string of primaries in Indiana and Ohio set to take place on May 5th. This month features the first major cohort of states (which includes some major states Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Georgia) conducting their primaries.
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Israel Comes to Michigan Senate Candidate “In Her Dreams”

In a resurfaced clip of Michigan Senate candidate Haley Stevens, she is seen declaring “I will continue to fight for Israel’s existence. Israel comes to me in my dreams. I see Israel’s future. And I know that Israel will continue to exist for the Jewish people.” The clip has circulated widely online, and the reaction…
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Trump Is Being “Mogged” In China

Trump Is Being “Mogged” In China By: Sam Massey Donald Trump arrived in Beijing on May 13th for a three-day state visit that, whatever its diplomatic intentions, produced an unmistakable visual and symbolic dynamic: China was in charge. From the moment Air Force One touched down at Beijing Capital International Airport and Trump was greeted…
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Democrats Are Losing the Redistricting Battle, and It’s Really Bad

Democrats Are Losing the Redistricting Battle, and It’s Really Bad By: Sam Massey On April 22, House Democrats were riding high. They had just won a costly redistricting referendum in Virginia, Trump was tanking in the polls, and it looked like Democrats had fought Republicans to a draw in the map wars while remaining on…
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Stabenow Endorses Haley Stevens for U.S. Senate

Stabenow Endorses Haley Stevens for U.S. Senate By: Sam Massey Former US Senator for Michigan Debbie Stabenow endorsed Representative Haley Stevens on Wednesday in the Democratic primary to succeed retiring Senator Gary Peters, lending the four-term incumbent’s institutional credibility to a candidate currently running a healthy third in the polls. Stabenow, who held a seat…
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Mills Ends Senate Bid, Cites Financial Issues

Mills Ends Senate Bid, Cites Financial Issues By: Sam Massey Maine Governor Janet Mills suspended her campaign for the United States Senate on Thursday, abandoning a bid that Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer had personally recruited her for and that national Democrats once viewed as their strongest vehicle to unseat Republican incumbent Susan Collins. Mills,…
