Tag: Reports
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October Report: 2026 U.S. House Races
Democrats have a 89.50% chance of taking the Senate, while Republicans have a 10.50% chance of retaining. The Most Common Simulation Outcome: Dem – 229 | Rep – 206 View blog post here > Key Races: Alaska – Georgia – Maine – Michigan – New Hampshire – North Carolina – Ohio – Texas DATASET: Rating…
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October Report: 2026 U.S. Gubernatorial Races
Democrats and Republicans each have 18 gubernatorial seats up for election this year. Most Common Simulation Outcome: Dem – 25 Rep – 25 View blog post here > Key Races: Arizona – Georgia – Maine – Michigan – Nevada – Pennsylvania – Vermont – Wisconsin DATASET: Rating Changes: (Check Back) State Dem Wins / Rep…
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October Report: 2026 U.S. Senate Races
Democrats have a 88.25% chance of taking the Senate, while Republicans have a 11.75% chance of retaining. The Most Common Simulation Outcome: Dem – 53| Rep – 47 View blog post here > Key Races: Alaska – Georgia – Maine – Michigan – New Hampshire – North Carolina – Ohio – Texas DATASET: Rating Changes:…
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Gambit Forecaster: June 2026 Report on Senate and Governor Races
We are now deep into the 2026 primary period, with the next string of primaries in Indiana and Ohio set to take place on May 5th. This month features the first major cohort of states (which includes some major states Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Georgia) conducting their primaries.
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June Report: 2026 U.S. Gubernatorial Races
Democrats and Republicans each have 18 gubernatorial seats up for election this year. Most Common Simulation Outcome: Dem – 25 Rep – 25 View blog post here > Key Races: Arizona – Georgia – Iowa – Maine – Michigan – Nevada – Ohio – Pennsylvania – Vermont – Wisconsin Governor Trajectories (Since January 1st): Rating…
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June Report: 2026 U.S. Senate Races
Democrats have a 20.67% chance of taking the Senate, while Republicans have a 79.33% chance of retaining. The Most Common Simulation Outcome: Dem – 48 | Rep – 52 View blog post here > Key Races: Alaska – Georgia – Maine – Michigan – Nebraska – New Hampshire – North Carolina – Ohio – Texas…
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Gambit Forecaster: May 2026 Report on Senate and Governor Races
We are now deep into the 2026 primary period, with the next string of primaries in Indiana and Ohio set to take place on May 5th. This month features the first major cohort of states (which includes some major states Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Georgia) conducting their primaries.
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May Report: 2026 U.S. Gubernatorial Races
Democrats and Republicans each have 18 gubernatorial seats up for election this year. Most Common Simulation Outcome: Dem – 24 Rep – 26 View blog post here > Key Races: Arizona – Georgia – Maine – Michigan – Nevada – Pennsylvania – Vermont – Wisconsin Governor Trajectories (Since January 1st): Rating Changes (From April to…
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May Report: 2026 U.S. Senate Races
Democrats have a 10.43% chance of taking the Senate, while Republicans have a 89.57% chance of retaining. The Most Common Simulation Outcome: Dem – 48 | Rep – 52 View blog post here > Key Races: Alaska – Georgia – Maine – Michigan – New Hampshire – North Carolina – Ohio – Texas Senate Trajectories…
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Gambit Forecaster: April 2026 Report on Senate and Governor Races
The April Report Gambit Forecaster’s April Report: 2026 Senate and Gubernatorial Races – Written By Sam Massey View Senate Data – View Gubernatorial Data View Upcoming Primaries Here Introduction With three months of the election season in the books, and three massive primaries out of the way in Illinois, North Carolina, and Texas (for the…